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深圳金汇szbillann

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深圳金汇szbillann

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<FONT face=黑体>2006年中国中西部城市综合实力5强（亿）<BR>中部江汉-中原地区:<BR>      GDP  增长<BR>1.武汉2590（14.8%)<BR>2.郑州1834(15%)<BR>3.长沙1791(14.5%)<BR>4.合肥1536(13.0%)<BR>5.太原1198(12.1%)<BR><BR>西部成渝地区:<BR>1.重庆3486(12.2%)<BR>2.成都2750(13.8%)<BR>3.南宁1198(13.0%)<BR>4.西安1096(13.5%)<BR>5.昆明1000(12.5)</FONT><hr style='height:50%;color:grey;'>量力而行！

帖子：08/09或将发生新一轮全球金融泡沫危机起源国货币？--英镑

最后回复：未填写删除
<FONT face=黑体>2006年中国环渤海都市群综合实力10强（亿）<BR>        GDP  增长<BR>1.北京7720（12%)<BR>2.天津4338(14.5%)<BR>3.青岛3207(15.5%)<BR>4.石家庄2904(13.0%)<BR>5.大连2570(14.1%)<BR>6.沈阳2483(17%)<BR>7.济南2185(15%)<BR>8.哈尔滨2094(13.0%)<BR>9.<BR>10.</FONT><hr style='height:50%;color:grey;'>量力而行！

帖子：08/09或将发生新一轮全球金融泡沫危机起源国货币？--英镑

最后回复：未填写删除
<FONT face=黑体>2006年中国长三角都市群综合实力10强（亿）<BR>        GDP  增长<BR>1.上海10297（12%)<BR>2.苏州4820(15.5%)<BR>3.杭州3441(14.5%)<BR>4.无锡3300(15.6%)<BR>5.宁波2865(15.1%)<BR>6.南京2774(15%)<BR>7.南通1758(15%)<BR>8.绍兴1633(16.7%)<BR>9.常州1500(16.7%)<BR>10.嘉兴1343(16.5%)</FONT><hr style='height:50%;color:grey;'>量力而行！

帖子：08/09或将发生新一轮全球金融泡沫危机起源国货币？--英镑

最后回复：未填写删除
<FONT face=黑体>2006年中国珠三角(港澳台)都市群综合实力10强（亿）<BR>        GDP  增长<BR>1.香港16033（6.7%)<BR>2.台北6934(4.5%)<BR>3.高雄6071(4.5%)<BR>4.广州6068(14.6%)<BR>5.深圳5684(15.1%)<BR>6.佛山3000(15%)<BR>7.东莞2625(195)<BR>8.澳门1144(16.7%)<BR>9.中山1036(16.7%)<BR>10.惠州937(16.5%)</FONT><hr style='height:50%;color:grey;'>量力而行！

帖子：08/09或将发生新一轮全球金融泡沫危机起源国货币？--英镑

最后回复：未填写删除
<FONT face=黑体>2006年中国城市综合实力10强（亿）<BR>        GDP  增长<BR>1.香港16033（6.7%)<BR>2.上海10297(12%)<BR>3.北京7720(12%)<BR>4.台北6934(4.5%)<BR>5.高雄6071(4.5%)<BR>6.广州6068(14.6%)<BR>7.深圳5684(15.1%)<BR>8.苏州4420(15.3%)<BR>9.天津4338(14.4%)<BR>10.杭州3441(14.3%)</FONT><hr style='height:50%;color:grey;'>量力而行！

帖子：08/09或将发生新一轮全球金融泡沫危机起源国货币？--英镑

最后回复：未填写删除
<FONT face=黑体>2006年中国省级市综合实力10强（亿）<BR>        GDP  增长<BR>1.台湾27737（4.5%)<BR>2.广东25968(14%)<BR>3.山东21847(14.7%)<BR>4.江苏21548 (14.9%)<BR>5.香港16033 (6.7%)<BR>6.浙江15649(13.6%)<BR>7.河南12464(14.1%)<BR>8.河北11614(13.3%)<BR>9.上海10297(12%)<BR>10.辽宁9257(13.7%)</FONT><hr style='height:50%;color:grey;'>量力而行！

帖子：08/09或将发生新一轮全球金融泡沫危机起源国货币？--英镑

最后回复：未填写删除
<FONT face=黑体>2006年亚太城市地区综合实力10强（亿美元）USD1:CNY7.8<BR>        GDP  增长<BR>1.东京12709（2.5%)<BR>2.首尔2284 (15%)<BR>3.香港2056 (6.7%)<BR>4.新加坡1383 (6%)<BR>5.悉尼1350 (4.5%)<BR>6.上海1320(12%)<BR>7.北京990(12%)<BR>8.台北889(4.5%)<BR>9.高雄778(4.5%)<BR>10广州778(14.7%)<BR><BR><BR></FONT><hr style='height:50%;color:grey;'>量力而行！

帖子：08/09或将发生新一轮全球金融泡沫危机起源国货币？--英镑

最后回复：未填写删除
<DIV align=center> <TABLE style="WIDTH: 99%; mso-cellspacing: 0cm; mso-padding-alt: 0cm 0cm 0cm 0cm" cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="99%" border=0> <TBODY> <TR style="HEIGHT: 18pt"> <TD style="BORDER-RIGHT: #ece9d8; PADDING-RIGHT: 0cm; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; PADDING-LEFT: 0cm; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0cm; BORDER-LEFT: #ece9d8; WIDTH: 100%; PADDING-TOP: 0cm; BORDER-BOTTOM: #ece9d8; HEIGHT: 18pt; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" width="100%"> <DIV align=center> <TABLE style="WIDTH: 100%; mso-cellspacing: 0cm; mso-padding-alt: 0cm 0cm 0cm 0cm" cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%" border=0> <TBODY> <TR style="HEIGHT: 18pt"> <TD style="BORDER-RIGHT: #ece9d8; PADDING-RIGHT: 0cm; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; PADDING-LEFT: 0cm; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0cm; BORDER-LEFT: #ece9d8; PADDING-TOP: 3pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: #ece9d8; HEIGHT: 18pt; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent"> <H1 style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><FONT size=2><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial">2006</SPAN><SPAN style="mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial"><FONT face=宋体>年世界各国</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial">GDP</SPAN><SPAN style="mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial"><FONT face=宋体>排名</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial">(</SPAN><SPAN style="mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial"><FONT face=宋体>前</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial">10</SPAN><SPAN style="mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial"><FONT face=宋体>名</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial">)</SPAN><FONT face=宋体><SPAN style="mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial">及预测</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial"><?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /><o:p></o:p></SPAN></FONT></FONT></H1></TD> <TD style="BORDER-RIGHT: #ece9d8; PADDING-RIGHT: 0cm; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; PADDING-LEFT: 0cm; BACKGROUND: white; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0cm; BORDER-LEFT: #ece9d8; WIDTH: 7.2pt; PADDING-TOP: 0cm; BORDER-BOTTOM: #ece9d8; HEIGHT: 18pt" width=10> <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"> <SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></P></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></DIV> <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 3pt 0cm 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></P></TD></TR> <TR> <TD style="BORDER-RIGHT: #a6d8f5 0.75pt solid; PADDING-RIGHT: 1.5pt; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; PADDING-LEFT: 1.5pt; PADDING-BOTTOM: 1.5pt; BORDER-LEFT: #a6d8f5 0.75pt solid; PADDING-TOP: 1.5pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: #a6d8f5 0.75pt solid; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent"> <DIV align=center> <TABLE style="WIDTH: 98%; mso-cellspacing: 0cm; mso-padding-alt: 0cm 0cm 0cm 0cm" cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="98%" border=0> <TBODY> <TR> <TD style="BORDER-RIGHT: #ece9d8; PADDING-RIGHT: 0cm; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; PADDING-LEFT: 0cm; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0cm; BORDER-LEFT: #ece9d8; PADDING-TOP: 0cm; BORDER-BOTTOM: #ece9d8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent"> <P style="WORD-BREAK: break-all"><FONT size=2><FONT face=Arial>2006</FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">年世界各国</SPAN><FONT face=Arial>GDP</FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">排名</SPAN><FONT face=Arial>(</FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">前</SPAN><FONT face=Arial>10</FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">名</SPAN><FONT face=Arial>)</FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">发布时间：</SPAN><FONT face=Arial>2007</FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">年</SPAN><FONT face=Arial>1</FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">月</SPAN><FONT face=Arial>16</FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">日</SPAN></FONT><FONT size=2><FONT face=Arial>  <BR></FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">项目名称：</SPAN><FONT face=Arial>2006</FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">年世界各国</SPAN><FONT face=Arial>GDP</FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">排名</SPAN><FONT face=Arial>(</FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">前</SPAN><FONT face=Arial>10</FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">名</SPAN></FONT><FONT size=2><FONT face=Arial>)  <BR></FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">项目说明：单位为百万美元，按名义汇率计算</SPAN></FONT><FONT size=2><FONT face=Arial>  <BR>---------------------------------------------------------  <BR></FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">排名</SPAN><FONT face=Arial> </FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">国家</SPAN><FONT face=Arial> 06</FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">年</SPAN></FONT><FONT size=2><FONT face=Arial>GDP  <BR></FONT><FONT face=Arial>1 </FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">美国</SPAN></FONT><FONT size=2><FONT face=Arial> 14,979,169  <BR></FONT><FONT face=Arial>2 </FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">日本</SPAN></FONT><FONT size=2><FONT face=Arial> 5,083,367  <BR></FONT><FONT face=Arial>3 </FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">德国</SPAN></FONT><FONT size=2><FONT face=Arial> 2,812,558  <BR></FONT><FONT face=Arial>4 </FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">中国</SPAN></FONT><FONT size=2><FONT face=Arial> 2,687,999  <BR></FONT><FONT face=Arial>5 </FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">英国</SPAN></FONT><FONT size=2><FONT face=Arial> 2,292,149  <BR></FONT><FONT face=Arial>6 </FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">法国</SPAN></FONT><FONT size=2><FONT face=Arial> 2,108,307  <BR>7 </FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">意大利</SPAN></FONT><FONT size=2><FONT face=Arial> 1,728,474  <BR>8 </FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">西班牙</SPAN></FONT><FONT size=2><FONT face=Arial> 1,069,499  <BR>9 </FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">加拿大</SPAN></FONT><FONT size=2><FONT face=Arial> 1,057,291  <BR>10 </FONT><SPAN lang=ZH-CN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN">韩国</SPAN></FONT><FONT size=2><FONT face=Arial> 9136,521  <BR>1970</FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">年，日本的</SPAN><FONT face=Arial>GDP</FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">为</SPAN><FONT face=Arial>2068</FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">亿美元，</SPAN><FONT face=Arial>1980</FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">年为</SPAN><FONT face=Arial>10279</FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">亿美元，到了</SPAN><FONT face=Arial>1990</FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">年为</SPAN><FONT face=Arial>30222</FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">亿美元，</SPAN><FONT face=Arial>2000</FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">年为</SPAN><FONT face=Arial>47661</FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">亿美元；</SPAN><FONT face=Arial>2005</FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">年为</SPAN><FONT face=Arial>46638</FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">亿美元。乍一看，不由得觉得奇怪，</SPAN><FONT face=Arial>1970</FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">年至</SPAN><FONT face=Arial>2000</FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">年</SPAN><FONT face=Arial>30</FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">年间，日本</SPAN><FONT face=Arial>GDP</FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">居然翻了</SPAN><FONT face=Arial>23</FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">倍，几乎每年增长</SPAN><FONT face=Arial>80%</FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">；而从</SPAN><FONT face=Arial>2001</FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">至</SPAN><FONT face=Arial>2005</FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">的</SPAN><FONT face=Arial>5</FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">年间，尽管日本搭上了中国经济快车，每年经济增长了</SPAN><FONT face=Arial>2%</FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">，但是以美元计算，日本</SPAN><FONT face=Arial>GDP</FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">的绝对值以美元计算居然减少了</SPAN><FONT face=Arial>1000</FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">亿美元。</SPAN></FONT><FONT size=2><FONT face=Arial>  <BR></FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">这是怎么回事呢？原来这一切都是汇率惹的祸。</SPAN><FONT face=Arial>1995</FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">年时，日元兑美元最高曾经达到过</SPAN><FONT face=Arial>78</FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">：</SPAN><FONT face=Arial>1</FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">。后来随着日本经济泡沫的破裂，日元兑美元逐渐回跌到</SPAN><FONT face=Arial>115-118</FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">：</SPAN><FONT face=Arial>1</FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">，开始稳定下来。于是就出现了文章开头的怪现象。</SPAN></FONT><FONT size=2><FONT face=Arial>  <BR></FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">笔者由此突发奇想，也想以日本经济的这一现象来预测未来</SPAN><FONT face=Arial>5</FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">年中国</SPAN><FONT face=Arial>GDP</FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">的走向。下述数据是</SPAN><FONT face=Arial>2000</FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">年</SPAN><FONT face=Arial>-2006</FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">年中国以人民币计算的</SPAN><FONT face=Arial>GDP</FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">数值。</SPAN></FONT><FONT size=2><FONT face=Arial>  <BR><BR></FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">年度</SPAN><FONT face=Arial> </FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">人民币</SPAN><FONT face=Arial>GDP</FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">（万亿）</SPAN><FONT face=Arial> </FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">美元</SPAN><FONT face=Arial>GDP</FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">（万亿）</SPAN><FONT face=Arial> </FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">世界排名</SPAN></FONT><FONT size=2><FONT face=Arial>  <BR>2000 99215 1,0808 6  <BR>2001 109655 1,1590 6  <BR>2002 120333 1,2371 6  <BR>2003 135823 1,3720 7  <BR>2004 159878 16149 6  <BR>2005 183868 20546 5  <BR>2006 209407 26847 4  <BR></FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">（数据来源：</SPAN><FONT face=Arial>2007</FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">年</SPAN><FONT face=Arial>1</FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">月</SPAN><FONT face=Arial>26</FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">日《环球时报》经济版）</SPAN></FONT><FONT size=2><FONT face=Arial>  <BR><BR></FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">预计至晚到明年，中国将超越德国，排名世界第三。</SPAN></FONT><FONT size=2><FONT face=Arial>  <BR></FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">那么中国何时可以超越日本排名世界老二呢？</SPAN></FONT><FONT size=2><FONT face=Arial>  <BR></FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">假如我国至</SPAN><FONT face=Arial>2015</FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">年经济增长率每年以</SPAN><FONT face=Arial>8%</FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">速度增长，人民币兑美元则以每年</SPAN><FONT face=Arial>4%</FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">升值。此时的我国的</SPAN><FONT face=Arial>GDP</FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">将会如何演变呢？</SPAN></FONT><FONT size=2><FONT face=Arial>  <BR><BR></FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">年度</SPAN><FONT face=Arial> </FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">人民币</SPAN><FONT face=Arial>GDP</FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">（万亿）</SPAN><FONT face=Arial> </FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">美元</SPAN><FONT face=Arial>GDP</FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">（万亿）</SPAN><FONT face=Arial> </FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">世界排名</SPAN></FONT><FONT size=2><FONT face=Arial>  <BR>2007 226160 30154 3  <BR>2008 244252 33923 3  <BR>2009 263792 38230 3  <BR>2010 284895 43035 3  <BR>2011 307686 48370 3  <BR>2012 332300 54475 2  <BR>2013 359884 61413 2  <BR>2014 388674 69036 2  <BR>2015 419767 77735 2  <BR><BR></FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">由上表可以看出，到</SPAN><FONT face=Arial>2015</FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">年，我国的</SPAN><FONT face=Arial>GDP</FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">按照美元计算，至迟在</SPAN><FONT face=Arial>2012</FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">年就可以超过日本，跃居世界第二。到了</SPAN><FONT face=Arial>2015</FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">年，更可以高达将近</SPAN><FONT face=Arial>8000</FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">亿美元。如果届时按照平价系数衡量，预计可达</SPAN><FONT face=Arial>10</FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">万亿美元，接近美国的经济总量。（世界银行认为人民币兑美元平价汇率为</SPAN><FONT face=Arial>2</FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">：</SPAN><FONT face=Arial>1</FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">）</SPAN></FONT><FONT size=2><FONT face=Arial>  <BR></FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">不过，如果把绝对值除以人口数，即便</SPAN><FONT face=Arial>GDP</FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">达到了</SPAN><FONT face=Arial>10</FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">万亿美元，人均也大约只有</SPAN><FONT face=Arial>7000</FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">美元左右。任重依然道远，估计再世界上的人均排名还在</SPAN><FONT face=Arial>50</FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">名开外！比大多数欧洲国家以及东北亚国家、中东产油国和拉美较富裕国家还差得很远。不过，有一点可以聊作安慰，台湾再不能与我们犟头倔脑了，大陆一吹风它就得歪倒一边去，和平统一希望无疑将会大大增加。</SPAN><o:p></o:p></FONT></P> <P style="WORD-BREAK: break-all"><FONT size=2><FONT face=Arial> <o:p></o:p></FONT></FONT></P></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></DIV> <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 3pt 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></P></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></DIV><hr style='height:50%;color:grey;'>量力而行！

帖子：08/09或将发生新一轮全球金融泡沫危机起源国货币？--英镑

最后回复：未填写删除
<FONT color=#ff0000 size=6>英国</FONT>08/09将是新一轮金融危机起源地<hr style='height:50%;color:grey;'>量力而行！

帖子：08/09或将爆发新一轮全球性金融泡沫危机起源地？--欧洲

最后回复：未填写删除
<P>注解：<BR>黄色代表发出危机警戒年；<BR>红色代表金融危机爆发年；<BR>白色代表见低危机解除年。</P><hr style='height:50%;color:grey;'>量力而行！

帖子：中长线金油汇已周期见顶看谈！(2005-08)-------2008或09将由"油金汇"爆发新一轮全

最后回复：未填写删除
焉

帖子：外汇投资与零和游戏的关系实践分析

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ding!!!!!!!!!!

帖子：中长线金油汇已周期见顶看谈！(2005-08)-------2008或09将由"油金汇"爆发新一轮全

最后回复：未填写删除
ding!!!!!!!!!!

帖子：中长线金油汇已周期见顶看谈！(2005-08)-------2008或09将由"油金汇"爆发新一轮全

最后回复：未填写删除
ding!!!!!!!!!!

帖子：中长线金油汇已周期见顶看谈！(2005-08)-------2008或09将由"油金汇"爆发新一轮全

最后回复：未填写删除
ding!!!!!!!!!!

帖子：中长线金油汇已周期见顶看谈！(2005-08)-------2008或09将由"油金汇"爆发新一轮全

最后回复：未填写删除

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发表说说

今日段位排行榜 ( 综合收益率=当日浮动收益率+当日收益率 )

排名
昵称
段位
综合收益率
昨日PK积分
可获积分

1
投资英雄
青铜四段
100.00%
20
20

2
投资英雄
青铜四段
100.00%
20
20

3
投资英雄
青铜四段
100.00%
20
20

4
投资英雄
青铜四段
100.00%
20
20

5
投资英雄
青铜四段
100.00%
20
20

6
投资英雄
青铜四段
100.00%
20
20

7
投资英雄
青铜四段
100.00%
20
20

8
投资英雄
青铜四段
100.00%
20
20

9
投资英雄
青铜四段
100.00%
20
20

10
投资英雄
青铜四段
100.00%
20
20

*注：12312313

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