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FX168 A+

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FX168 A+
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  1. <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><FONT color=#008000><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; LETTER-SPACING: 0.75pt; mso-fareast-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN">Etyanxj, </SPAN><SPAN lang=ZH-CN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: SimSun; LETTER-SPACING: 0.75pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial">嗯挺赞成您的意见，呵呵，但是在这种中长线趋势底定的局面下，对偶等不谙超短线操作者来说，逆势抢反弹真有点底气不足。</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; LETTER-SPACING: 0.75pt"><?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /><o:p></o:p></SPAN></FONT></P>

    帖子：盘中回档将是买入日元机会.

    最后回复：未填写 删除

  2. <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><FONT color=#a52a2a><FONT size=5><SPAN lang=ZH-CN style="FONT-FAMILY: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN">市场走势是最佳的见证者与最公正的裁判。向勇于分享自己见解的高手们致敬</SPAN><SPAN lang=ZH-CN style="mso-fareast-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN"> <SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes">&nbsp;</SPAN></SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-font-family: SimSun; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN">:<SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes">&nbsp; </SPAN>)</SPAN></FONT></FONT></P>

    帖子：盘中回档将是买入日元机会.

    最后回复：未填写 删除

  3. <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><FONT color=#008000><SPAN lang=ZH-CN style="FONT-FAMILY: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN">欧元</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-fareast-font-family: SimSun">/</SPAN><SPAN lang=ZH-CN style="FONT-FAMILY: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN">美元的多仓在</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-fareast-font-family: SimSun">1.2542</SPAN><SPAN lang=ZH-CN style="FONT-FAMILY: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN">也平了，大赚一笔之后，没仓的心情有点轻松，但也有点失落。失落的原因是，日元卖早了点，好像趋势确立，应该稳坐轿上才对的。</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN"><?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /><o:p></o:p></SPAN></FONT></P> <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN"><o:p><FONT color=#008000>&nbsp;</FONT></o:p></SPAN></P> <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><FONT color=#008000><SPAN lang=ZH-CN style="FONT-FAMILY: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN">嘻嘻，这就是市场的人性</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-fareast-font-family: SimSun">! </SPAN><SPAN lang=ZH-CN style="FONT-FAMILY: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN">其实，睡个好睡，再待佳机，岂不惬意哉</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-fareast-font-family: SimSun">!</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></FONT></P> <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN"><o:p><FONT color=#008000>&nbsp;</FONT></o:p></SPAN></P>

    帖子：大赚的欧元、日元将伺机落袋为安，静待下波再出手时机!

    最后回复：未填写 删除

  4. <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><FONT color=#a52a2a><SPAN lang=ZH-CN style="FONT-FAMILY: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN">非常谢谢</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-fareast-font-family: SimSun">calyx</SPAN><SPAN lang=ZH-CN style="FONT-FAMILY: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN">、</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-fareast-font-family: SimSun">zhangdaye</SPAN><SPAN lang=ZH-CN style="FONT-FAMILY: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN">、</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-fareast-font-family: SimSun">xifangtianren</SPAN><SPAN lang=ZH-CN style="FONT-FAMILY: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN">的支持打气</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-fareast-font-family: SimSun">! </SPAN><SPAN lang=ZH-CN style="FONT-FAMILY: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN">偶是半路杀进汇市做分析服务的半生手，还要仰望大家多多提供见解，让偶可以继续学习以锻炼分析能力。</SPAN></FONT></P>

    帖子：大赚的欧元、日元将伺机落袋为安，静待下波再出手时机!

    最后回复：未填写 删除

  5. <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><FONT color=#008000><SPAN lang=ZH-CN style="FONT-FAMILY: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN">今天凌晨美元</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-fareast-font-family: SimSun">/</SPAN><SPAN lang=ZH-CN style="FONT-FAMILY: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN">日元均价出在</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-fareast-font-family: SimSun">114.43</SPAN><SPAN lang=ZH-CN style="FONT-FAMILY: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN">，我打算看看日本央行动作，伺机等待</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-fareast-font-family: SimSun">115.8~116.5</SPAN><SPAN lang=ZH-CN style="FONT-FAMILY: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN">，再分二至三批再卖出美元。</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN"><?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /><o:p></o:p></SPAN></FONT></P> <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN"><o:p><FONT color=#008000>&nbsp;</FONT></o:p></SPAN></P> <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><FONT color=#008000><SPAN lang=ZH-CN style="FONT-FAMILY: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN">虽然预期日元可能反弹至上述区域，但是我不打算抢美元反弹的多仓。</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-fareast-font-family: SimSun">&#8221;</SPAN><SPAN lang=ZH-CN style="FONT-FAMILY: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN">主跌段、主升段不逆大势操作</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-fareast-font-family: SimSun">&#8221;</SPAN><SPAN lang=ZH-CN style="FONT-FAMILY: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN">，是除了</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-fareast-font-family: SimSun">&#8221;</SPAN><SPAN lang=ZH-CN style="FONT-FAMILY: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN">天价不卖、地价不买</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-fareast-font-family: SimSun">&#8221;</SPAN><SPAN lang=ZH-CN style="FONT-FAMILY: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN">哲学之外，偶一向严格遵守的圭臬。对汇市投资者来说，这样的做法可能有些笨，但是很安全，不会侵蚀既有的战果。</SPAN><SPAN lang=ZH-CN style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-fareast-font-family: SimSun"> </SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-fareast-font-family: SimSun">: )</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></FONT></P> <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN"><o:p><FONT color=#008000>&nbsp;</FONT></o:p></SPAN></P> <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><FONT color=#008000><SPAN lang=ZH-CN style="FONT-FAMILY: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN">欧元短波攻势受阻，主要是受欧元</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-fareast-font-family: SimSun">/</SPAN><SPAN lang=ZH-CN style="FONT-FAMILY: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN">日元交叉盘的获利回吐卖压或短线停损卖盘所牵致。然而，欧元</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-fareast-font-family: SimSun">/</SPAN><SPAN lang=ZH-CN style="FONT-FAMILY: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN">美元的多头格局应是瑕不掩瑜，近期上看</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-fareast-font-family: SimSun">1.2530</SPAN><SPAN lang=ZH-CN style="FONT-FAMILY: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN">以上价位应非难事。耐心等待</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-fareast-font-family: SimSun">ing&#8230;..</SPAN></FONT></P>

    帖子：大赚的欧元、日元将伺机落袋为安，静待下波再出手时机!

    最后回复：未填写 删除

  6. <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><FONT color=#008000><FONT size=5><SPAN lang=ZH-CN style="FONT-FAMILY: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN">多谢祝福</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-fareast-font-family: SimSun">! <SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes">&nbsp;&nbsp;</SPAN></SPAN><SPAN lang=ZH-CN style="FONT-FAMILY: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN">希望老板少派点活给我，让我可以多些时间关注行情发展，也能多多和网友们切磋。</SPAN></FONT></FONT></P>

    帖子：大赚的欧元、日元将伺机落袋为安，静待下波再出手时机!

    最后回复：未填写 删除

  7. <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN lang=ZH-CN style="FONT-FAMILY: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN"><FONT color=#008000 size=4>很高兴对您的理解有帮助。另外，对于您对增辟相关专栏的提议，我会向公司反映。</FONT></SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN"><?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /><o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>

    帖子：财年因素对日元影响可能减弱

    最后回复：未填写 删除

  8. <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><FONT size=5><FONT color=#a52a2a><SPAN lang=ZH-CN style="FONT-FAMILY: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN">顶</SPAN><SPAN lang=ZH-CN style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-fareast-font-family: SimSun"> </SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-fareast-font-family: SimSun">!</SPAN></FONT></FONT></P> <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN lang=ZH-CN style="FONT-FAMILY: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN"><FONT color=#a52a2a size=5>现在来看，分析似乎挺接近走势发展滴。</FONT></SPAN></P>

    帖子：猎豹分析

    最后回复：未填写 删除

  9. <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><FONT color=#a52a2a><FONT size=5><SPAN lang=ZH-CN style="FONT-FAMILY: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN">各位好</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-fareast-font-family: SimSun">:</SPAN></FONT></FONT></P> <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><FONT color=#a52a2a><FONT size=5><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-fareast-font-family: SimSun">FX168 BBS</SPAN><SPAN lang=ZH-CN style="FONT-FAMILY: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN">很欢迎大家在此以汇会友，但是为了让大家的使用更便利，找寻有关议题的帖子更有效率，这类串连的帖子，能不能发到</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-fareast-font-family: SimSun">&#8221;</SPAN><SPAN lang=ZH-CN style="FONT-FAMILY: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN">汇市茶馆</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-fareast-font-family: SimSun">&#8221;</SPAN><SPAN lang=ZH-CN style="FONT-FAMILY: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN">这区呢</SPAN></FONT><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-fareast-font-family: SimSun"><FONT size=5>?&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<BR>&nbsp;&nbsp; </FONT></P> <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><FONT size=5><FONT color=#a52a2a><SPAN lang=ZH-CN style="FONT-FAMILY: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN">这样可避免想看货币</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-fareast-font-family: SimSun">PK</SPAN><SPAN lang=ZH-CN style="FONT-FAMILY: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN">观点的网友觉得不方便。谢谢支持</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-fareast-font-family: SimSun">!</SPAN></FONT></FONT></P></SPAN></FONT>

    帖子：寻求共同分析操作的伙伴

    最后回复：未填写 删除

  10. <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-fareast-font-family: SimSun"><FONT color=#008000 size=4>Hi, floating,</FONT></SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN"><FONT color=#008000><FONT size=4> <BR><?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /><o:p></o:p></FONT></FONT></SPAN></P> <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN lang=ZH-CN style="FONT-FAMILY: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN"><BR><FONT color=#008000 size=4>您对第一个问题的理解应是正确，所谓</FONT></SPAN><FONT color=#008000><FONT size=4><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-fareast-font-family: SimSun">hedging(</SPAN><SPAN lang=ZH-CN style="FONT-FAMILY: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN">对冲避险</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-fareast-font-family: SimSun">)</SPAN><SPAN lang=ZH-CN style="FONT-FAMILY: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN">，就是把价格波动的变量给固定住。对日资金融机构来说，在投资海外资产时，同时也买进一笔日元多仓，财年结算时，卖掉这笔海外资产，同时也把这日元避险多仓平掉，这种避险操作，可以让投资操作几乎可以不受日元这段期间的涨或跌影响绩效。这类避险操作，不仅是人寿公司可能会如此操作，像一些共同基金</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-fareast-font-family: SimSun">(mutual fund)</SPAN><SPAN lang=ZH-CN style="FONT-FAMILY: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN">资产管理公司也常会如此操作，甚至一些中、大型的外贸出口公司也是采取类似做法在规避汇兑风险的。</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></FONT></FONT></P> <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN"><o:p><FONT color=#008000 size=4>&nbsp;</FONT></o:p></SPAN></P> <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><FONT color=#008000><FONT size=4><SPAN lang=ZH-CN style="FONT-FAMILY: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN">另外，您对第二个问题的推理应该也没有错。如果投资期初，这些金融机构没有进行买多本币的避险操作，那么到期时，可能也就不用平掉避险的多仓，理论上，在那段期间是可以减少对冲部位平仓对本币多头带来的影响。不过，这样也似乎意味，这些金融机构对未来本币看贬有一定程度的把握。</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></FONT></FONT></P> <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN"><o:p><FONT color=#008000 size=4>&nbsp;</FONT></o:p></SPAN></P> <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><FONT color=#008000><FONT size=4><SPAN lang=ZH-CN style="FONT-FAMILY: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN">不过，在此还有一些实况想提醒</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-fareast-font-family: SimSun">:</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></FONT></FONT></P> <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN"><o:p><FONT color=#008000 size=4>&nbsp;</FONT></o:p></SPAN></P> <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt 18pt; TEXT-INDENT: -18pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list 18.0pt"><FONT color=#008000><FONT size=4><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"><SPAN style="mso-list: Ignore">(1)<SPAN style="FONT: 7pt 'Times New Roman'">&nbsp;&nbsp; </SPAN></SPAN></SPAN><SPAN lang=ZH-CN style="FONT-FAMILY: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN">国际上，金融保险机构与跨国出口集团等金融的对冲避险操作，目前已有许多复杂的组合方法，包括同时利用期货、期权、掉期</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-fareast-font-family: SimSun">(SWAP)</SPAN><SPAN lang=ZH-CN style="FONT-FAMILY: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN">等等；同时，对冲避险部位的规模与组合会视机构对未来汇率走势的分析不断进行调整，如果是利用期权或掉期操作，到期时反冲销操作，不一定会对汇市波动形成影响。</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></FONT></FONT></P> <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN"><o:p><FONT color=#008000 size=4>&nbsp;</FONT></o:p></SPAN></P> <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt 18pt; TEXT-INDENT: -18pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list 18.0pt"><FONT color=#008000><FONT size=4><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"><SPAN style="mso-list: Ignore">(2)<SPAN style="FONT: 7pt 'Times New Roman'">&nbsp;&nbsp; </SPAN></SPAN></SPAN><SPAN lang=ZH-CN style="FONT-FAMILY: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN">这些冲销操作只能说在季报或财年结算前后会有相对出现较多或较密集的动作，但事实上，平时针对各种投资部位的到期</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-fareast-font-family: SimSun">(</SPAN><SPAN lang=ZH-CN style="FONT-FAMILY: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN">例如国债发行到期的执行不一定都发生的每年年底或每年</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-fareast-font-family: SimSun">3</SPAN><SPAN lang=ZH-CN style="FONT-FAMILY: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN">月底</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-fareast-font-family: SimSun">)</SPAN><SPAN lang=ZH-CN style="FONT-FAMILY: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN">，早已在行进间不断进行新的布署操作，并非全都集中在季底或年底前才进行。</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></FONT></FONT></P> <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN"><o:p><FONT color=#008000 size=4>&nbsp;</FONT></o:p></SPAN></P> <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt 18pt; TEXT-INDENT: -18pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list 18.0pt"><FONT color=#008000><FONT size=4><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"><SPAN style="mso-list: Ignore">(3)<SPAN style="FONT: 7pt 'Times New Roman'">&nbsp;&nbsp; </SPAN></SPAN></SPAN><SPAN lang=ZH-CN style="FONT-FAMILY: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN">外贸出口企业的季报或财年结算前的外汇部位处理，可能比金融保险机构对行情波动更有实际影响性。主要原因是</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-fareast-font-family: SimSun">: </SPAN><SPAN lang=ZH-CN style="FONT-FAMILY: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN">这些企业有时对汇兑避险的专业行动力较弱，加上企业经营高层对汇率走向的主观分析可能降低风险管理的执行力。</SPAN></FONT></FONT></P> <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p><FONT color=#008000 size=4>&nbsp;</FONT></o:p></SPAN></P> <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN lang=ZH-CN style="FONT-FAMILY: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN"><FONT color=#008000 size=4>个人浅见认为，目前许多研究看法或传媒报道，似乎都对财年效应有一定程度的跨大之嫌。当然，如果市场民意与氛围都有如此倾向，在某个时间段里，仍然可以发挥一些预期效应，进而对汇市行情形成一些连动影响的，但影响的深度未必如市场预期一般。<BR></FONT></SPAN></P> <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p><FONT color=#008000 size=4><BR><BR>&nbsp;</FONT></o:p></SPAN></P>

    帖子：财年因素对日元影响可能减弱

    最后回复：未填写 删除

  11. <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><FONT size=4><FONT color=#008000><SPAN lang=ZH-CN style="FONT-FAMILY: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN">不知道</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-fareast-font-family: SimSun">floating</SPAN><SPAN lang=ZH-CN style="FONT-FAMILY: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN">是在哪里看到这则消息的</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-fareast-font-family: SimSun">? </SPAN><SPAN lang=ZH-CN style="FONT-FAMILY: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN">如果真是这样，似乎意味着这些日本人寿公司未必看淡</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-fareast-font-family: SimSun">2006</SPAN><SPAN lang=ZH-CN style="FONT-FAMILY: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN">年的日元走势。</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN"><?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /><o:p></o:p></SPAN></FONT></FONT></P> <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN"><o:p><FONT color=#008000 size=4>&nbsp;</FONT></o:p></SPAN></P> <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><FONT size=4><FONT color=#008000><SPAN lang=ZH-CN style="FONT-FAMILY: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN">因为金融机构的财报的会计准则应该是，在季度或年度结算时，投资部位如果没有实际平仓，就不能计入利差与价差投资的实际获利；同时，财报还必须针对帐上有套利价差损失以及帐上有汇兑损失的未平仓部位，提列帐上损失准备。</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></FONT></FONT></P> <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN"><o:p><FONT color=#008000 size=4>&nbsp;</FONT></o:p></SPAN></P> <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><FONT size=4><FONT color=#008000><SPAN lang=ZH-CN style="FONT-FAMILY: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN">不少金融机构赴海外投资时，为避免平仓或财报结算需承担或提列额外的汇兑损失，往往会在资金汇出的同时，针对全数部位或者局部部位进行汇率反向对冲的操作。</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></FONT></FONT></P> <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN"><o:p><FONT color=#008000 size=4>&nbsp;</FONT></o:p></SPAN></P> <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><FONT size=4><FONT color=#008000><SPAN lang=ZH-CN style="FONT-FAMILY: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN">要不要事先积极做对冲，往往与该公司对往后的汇率走势分析有关。如果未来看升本国汇率，就会事先积极进行到期部位的对冲避险操作，以免赚的投资收益率遭汇兑损失侵蚀；如果未来看贬本国汇价，那么应会减少对冲避险操作的部位，这样一来，等投资期到了，不但赚了利差或价差收益，在兑回本币时，还会多出一笔汇兑收益。</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></FONT></FONT></P> <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN"><o:p><FONT color=#008000 size=4>&nbsp;</FONT></o:p></SPAN></P> <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><FONT size=4><FONT color=#008000><SPAN lang=ZH-CN style="FONT-FAMILY: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN">其实，个人观察各国金融业的操作发现，很多寿险公司或投行的海外固定收益投资部位，在接近财报结算时，其实常常是在同一时间内进行一卖一买的冲销动作，也就是先进行平仓操作让获利在会计帐上实现，但很快又会针对平仓的回收资金建立新的部位，这也就是财年结算常常对日元的涨势帮助呈现雷大雨小局面。</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></FONT></FONT></P> <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN"><o:p><FONT color=#008000 size=4>&nbsp;</FONT></o:p></SPAN></P> <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><FONT size=4><FONT color=#008000><SPAN lang=ZH-CN style="FONT-FAMILY: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN">什么时候的财报结算真得能带动日元大幅上涨</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-fareast-font-family: SimSun">? </SPAN><SPAN lang=ZH-CN style="FONT-FAMILY: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN">个人认为，那应该是日本金融机构真的看升本国资产的投资报酬率可望回升，例如看好股市、房市中长期可望不断走高，以及日元利率回升明显缩窄与其它货币的息口差距。</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></FONT></FONT></P> <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN"><o:p><FONT color=#008000 size=4>&nbsp;</FONT></o:p></SPAN></P> <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><FONT size=4><FONT color=#008000><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-fareast-font-family: SimSun">Floating</SPAN><SPAN lang=ZH-CN style="FONT-FAMILY: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN">帖中说到，日本这些人寿公司想减少购买海外国债，应该深思的不是以后季度或财年结算不会为日元带来助升力量，反而更应该去了解减持海外国债，那么庞大资金将何去何从</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-fareast-font-family: SimSun">? </SPAN><SPAN lang=ZH-CN style="FONT-FAMILY: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN">是留在本国进行投资</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-fareast-font-family: SimSun">? </SPAN><SPAN lang=ZH-CN style="FONT-FAMILY: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN">减少固定收益部位而提高价差套利的股市或房市投资</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-fareast-font-family: SimSun">?</SPAN></FONT></FONT></P> <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p><FONT color=#008000 size=4>&nbsp;</FONT></o:p></SPAN></P> <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN lang=ZH-CN style="FONT-FAMILY: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN"><FONT color=#008000 size=4>如果这些公司的计划真是把钱留在本国资产，对日元来说，很可能是长线利好而不是利空。<BR><BR><BR></FONT></SPAN></P><p><font color='#FF6600'><b>该贴最后一次修改时间为：2006-04-16 13:48:33</b></font>

    帖子：财年因素对日元影响可能减弱

    最后回复：未填写 删除

  12. <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN lang=ZH-CN style="FONT-FAMILY: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN">欧元多仓，今天加在</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-fareast-font-family: SimSun">1.2073</SPAN><SPAN lang=ZH-CN style="FONT-FAMILY: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN">，是吉是凶，下周就要摊牌了~~</SPAN></P>

    帖子：地价不买、天价不卖，我正孤独地加码日元、欧元多仓!

    最后回复：未填写 删除

  13. <SPAN lang=ZH-CN style="FONT-FAMILY: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN"> <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">Hi, Kranich,</FONT></SPAN></P> <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><BR>事实上，各国央行也像市场的追逐者一般，经常采取涨时追涨、跌时追跌操作。</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-fareast-font-family: SimSun">2004</SPAN><SPAN lang=ZH-CN style="FONT-FAMILY: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN">年各国央行降低美元储备一度杀声震天，去年美元走高，大家反而休兵观望，部分亚洲国家央行甚至还进一步积极增持美债等部位。</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN"><?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /><o:p></o:p></SPAN></P> <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN"><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></SPAN></P> <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN lang=ZH-CN style="FONT-FAMILY: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN">然而，从去年底以来，美元盘了数个月，这个局面再度引发各国央行的焦躁不安，部分中东地区央行近期又传出打算分散外汇储备的消息。个人认为，近期盘旋待变的美元一旦趋势走向明朗化之后，各国央行仍然会是顺着风向移动。</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></P> <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN"><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></SPAN></P> <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN lang=ZH-CN style="FONT-FAMILY: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN">目前美债长天期殖利率逼近</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-fareast-font-family: SimSun">5%</SPAN><SPAN lang=ZH-CN style="FONT-FAMILY: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN">，相对出色于不少债市，加上美国仍执全球的经济牛耳，美债等资产流动性又佳，故相信在美元没有明确的贬值危机之前，各国央行仍不致从美元资产大举撤退。</SPAN></P> <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></SPAN></P> <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN lang=ZH-CN style="FONT-FAMILY: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN">然而，从长期的角度来，各国央行逐步降低美元部位已是趋势所致，原因除了包括美国本身的经济问题之外，中国等亚洲国家的崛起，以及美国一直备受地缘政治风险困扰，都是各国央行心中难以挥去的阴霾，预料分散备储的行动势必是视美元的强弱趋势来决定。</SPAN></P><p><font color='#FF6600'><b>该贴最后一次修改时间为：2006-04-14 00:24:25</b></font>

    帖子：地价不买、天价不卖，我正孤独地加码日元、欧元多仓!

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  14. <P><SPAN lang=ZH-CN style="FONT-FAMILY: SimSun"><STRONG>美元资产的风险正在上升</STRONG></SPAN></P> <P style="MARGIN-BOTTOM: 12pt"><SPAN lang=ZH-CN style="FONT-FAMILY: SimSun">美国经济规模毕竟较大，创历史新高的贸易赤字与债务的累积似乎在美元身上都找不到明显软弱的迹象，主要原因在于美元仍是全球央行外汇存底最主要的持有货币，影响非同小可，过去几年，中国经济起飞与油国累积的财富，持续购买美国政府公债，也正是美国殖利率可维持低档的原因，但是，问题在于这些买盘还能持续多久，美国赤字问题所带来的风险越来越高，美债买家也将要求越来越高的利率，这也可以解释为何美国联准会迟迟不肯结束升息的部分原因。</SPAN></P> <P><SPAN lang=ZH-CN style="FONT-FAMILY: SimSun">美国升息到什么程度将冲击到景气？何时无法再吸引资金流入？这样转折点实在很难预测，不过可以确定这样的风险持续在上升，近期美国十年公债殖利率攀升至</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-FAMILY: SimSun">4 . 9 </SPAN><SPAN lang=ZH-CN style="FONT-FAMILY: SimSun">％就可感受到这样的风险，<SPAN lang=ZH-CN style="FONT-FAMILY: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">今年</SPAN>一月时殖利率仅在</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-FAMILY: SimSun">4 . 4 </SPAN><SPAN lang=ZH-CN style="FONT-FAMILY: SimSun">％。金融风暴就像冰岛最著名的观光景点「间歇泉」一样，能量累积越久，届时释放的能量就越大。</SPAN></P> <P style="MARGIN-BOTTOM: 12pt"><SPAN lang=ZH-CN style="FONT-FAMILY: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">贸易赤字与外债是金融风暴最常出现的原因，大量的资金抱注后，突然大幅且恐慌性的抽离，因此现阶段的投资应该寻找基本面健全的标的，亚洲国家经历前一次金融风暴后，大幅改善外债与赤字的问题，累积足够的贸易盈余与外汇存底使得目前的经济体体质较为健全，若面对热钱大量抽离也能较先前更有能力去处置与因应，如新加坡、马来西亚等。<BR><BR></P> <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><FONT size=2><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN lang=ZH-CN style="FONT-FAMILY: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">资料来源</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">:</FONT></SPAN></B><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN lang=ZH-CN style="FONT-FAMILY: SimSun; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">新加坡大华银集团</SPAN></B></FONT><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體"><?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /><o:p></o:p></SPAN></B></P></SPAN>

    帖子：地价不买、天价不卖，我正孤独地加码日元、欧元多仓!

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  15. <FONT color=#a52a2a size=5>向樓主致敬，您真厲害，料事如神吶!&nbsp; 能不能再進一步談談，接下來呢?</FONT>

    帖子：贸易数据公布后,美元将反弹

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