from jqdata import *
from jqlib.technical_analysis import *
from jqfactor import *
from scipy import stats
from statsmodels import regression
import datetime
import pandas as pd
import numpy as np
import statsmodels.api as sm
import warnings
warnings.filterwarnings('ignore')


#获取每月最后一个交易日（其余频次是获取第一个交易日，暂未改动）
def get_tradeday_list(start,end,frequency=None,count=None):
    if count != None:
        df = get_price('000001.XSHG',end_date=end,count=count)
    else:
        df = get_price('000001.XSHG',start_date=start,end_date=end)
    if frequency == None or frequency =='day':
        return df.index
    else:
        df['year-month'] = [str(i)[0:7] for i in df.index]
        if frequency == 'month':
            return df.drop_duplicates('year-month', keep = 'last').index
        elif frequency == 'quarter':
            df['month'] = [str(i)[5:7] for i in df.index]
            df = df[(df['month']=='01') | (df['month']=='04') | (df['month']=='07') | (df['month']=='10') ]
            return df.drop_duplicates('year-month').index
        elif frequency =='halfyear':
            df['month'] = [str(i)[5:7] for i in df.index]
            df = df[(df['month']=='01') | (df['month']=='07')]
            return df.drop_duplicates('year-month').index 

#获取股票池
def get_stock(stockPool, begin_date):
    if stockPool == 'HS300':
        stockList = get_index_stocks('000300.XSHG', begin_date)
    elif stockPool == 'ZZ500':
        stockList = get_index_stocks('399905.XSHE', begin_date)
    elif stockPool == 'ZZ800':
        stockList = get_index_stocks('399906.XSHE', begin_date)   
    elif stockPool == 'A':
        stockList = list(get_all_securities(['stock'], date = begin_date).index)
    
    #剔除ST股
    st_data = get_extras('is_st', stockList, count = 1,end_date = begin_date)
    stockList = [stock for stock in stockList if not st_data[stock][0]]
    #剔除*st股票
    stockList = [stock for stock in stockList if '*' not in get_security_info(stock).display_name]
    #剔除上市不足6个月的新股
    stockList = delete_new(stockList, begin_date, n = 183)
    #剔除停牌
    suspended_info_df = get_price(stockList, end_date = begin_date, count = 1, frequency = 'daily', fields = 'paused')['paused']
    stockList = [stock for stock in stockList if suspended_info_df[stock][0] == 0]
    
    return stockList

#剔除新股
def delete_new(stocks, beginDate, n = 365):
    stockList = []
    for stock in stocks:
        start_date = get_security_info(stock).start_date
        if start_date < (beginDate - datetime.timedelta(days = n)):
            stockList.append(stock)
    return stockList

def get_factor_data(stocks, start_date, end_date):
    if factor == 'IVol':
        factor_data = FF3(stocks, start_date, end_date)
    elif factor == 'IVR':
        factor_data = FF3(stocks, start_date, end_date)
    elif factor == 'PriceDelay':
        factor_data = PD(stocks, start_date, end_date)
    elif factor == 'adjTurnover':
        factor_data = adjTurnover(stocks, end_date)
        
    return factor_data

#求Fama-French三因子模型特质波动率
def FF3(stocks, start_date, end_date, rf = 0.04):
    LoS=len(stocks)
    #查询三因子的语句
    q = query(
        valuation.code,
        valuation.circulating_market_cap,
        (balance.total_owner_equities/valuation.circulating_market_cap/100000000.0).label("BP"),
        #indicator.roe,
        #balance.total_assets.label("Inv")
    ).filter(
        valuation.code.in_(stocks)
    )
    
    df = get_fundamentals(q, start_date)
    df.index = df['code']
    del df['code']
    #中性化
    #df = neutralize(df, how = ['sw_l1', 'market_cap'], date = end_date, axis = 0)
    n = int(LoS/3)

    #选出特征股票组合
    S=df.sort_values('circulating_market_cap').index.tolist()[: n]
    B=df.sort_values('circulating_market_cap').index.tolist()[LoS - n:]
    L=df.sort_values('BP').index.tolist()[: n]
    H=df.sort_values('BP').index.tolist()[LoS - n:]
    
    df5 = df['circulating_market_cap']
    
    # 获得样本期间的股票价格并计算日收益率
    df2 = get_price(stocks, start_date = start_date, end_date = end_date, fields=['close'])['close']
    df4 = df2.pct_change()
    df4.dropna(how ='all', inplace = True)
    df4.fillna(0, inplace = True)
    #求因子的值，按流通市值加权
    SMB = list(np.dot(df4[S], df5.loc[S] / df5.loc[S].sum()) - np.dot(df4[B], df5.loc[B] / df5.loc[B].sum()))
    HML = list(np.dot(df4[H], df5.loc[H] / df5.loc[H].sum()) - np.dot(df4[L], df5.loc[L] / df5.loc[L].sum()))
    
    #用股票池，流通市值为权重作为市场基准
    df6 = df5.loc[df4.columns]
    df6.fillna(df5.mean(), inplace = True)
    RM = list(np.dot(df4, df6 / df6.sum()) - rf/252)
    if len(SMB) > len(RM):
        SMB.drop(SMB.index[0], inplace = True)
        HML.drop(HML.index[0], inplace = True)

    #将因子们计算好并且放好
    X = pd.DataFrame({"RM":RM, "SMB":SMB, "HML":HML})
    # 对样本数据进行线性回归并计算残差
    t_scores=[0.0] * LoS
    for i in range(LoS):
        t_stock = stocks[i]
        t_r = linreg(X, df4[t_stock] - rf/252)
        t_scores[i] = t_r
    
    #这个scores就是残差 
    scores = pd.DataFrame({'score': t_scores}, index = stocks)
    
    return scores

#9
# 辅助线性回归的函数
# 输入:X:回归自变量 Y:回归因变量 完美支持list,array,DataFrame等三种数据类型
# 输出:参数估计结果-list类型
def linreg(X,Y):
    X=sm.add_constant(array(X, dtype=float))
    Y=array(Y)
    results = sm.OLS(Y, X).fit()
    
    if factor == 'IVol':
        return results.resid.std() * sqrt(252)
    elif factor == 'IVR':
        return (1 - results.rsquared)
    elif factor == 'PriceDelay':
        return results.rsquared
    elif factor == 'adjTurnover':
        return results.resid

#计算价格时滞
def PD(stocks, minus1_date, end_date, rf = 0.04):
    
    X1 = MKT(stocks, minus1_date, end_date, n = 0)
    X2 = MKT(stocks, minus1_date, end_date, n = 3)
    quote = get_price(stocks, start_date = minus1_date, end_date = end_date, fields=['close'])['close']
    ret = quote.pct_change()
    ret.dropna(how ='all', inplace = True)
    ret.fillna(0, inplace = True)
    ret = ret - rf/252
    #OLS计算hetero
    PriceDelay = pd.DataFrame(index = ['PriceDelay'])
    for stock in ret.columns:
        Y1 = ret[stock][:len(X1)]
        Y2 = ret[stock][:len(X2)]
        r0 = linreg(X1 - rf/252, Y1)
        r3 = linreg(X2 - rf/252, Y2)
        PriceDelay[stock] = 1 - r0/r3
    
    PriceDelay = PriceDelay.T

    #返回特质波动率vol
    return PriceDelay

#计算滞后n期的市场因子
def MKT(stocks, minus1_date, end_date, n):
    if n == 0:
        period = [minus1_date, end_date]
    else:
        period = list(get_tradeday_list(start = None, end = minus1_date, frequency = 'month', count = n * 24).date)
        period.append(end_date)
    
    X = pd.DataFrame(columns = period[1:], index = range(24))
    for i in range(len(period) - 1):
        #设置统计范围
        quote = get_price(stocks, start_date = period[i], end_date = period[i + 1], fields=['close'])['close']
        ret = quote.pct_change()
        ret.dropna(how ='all', inplace = True)
        ret.fillna(0, inplace = True)
        #构造市场基准收益：流通市值加权
        q = query(valuation.circulating_market_cap, valuation.code).filter(valuation.code.in_(stocks))
        df = get_fundamentals(q, period[i])
        df.index = df['code']
        del df['code']
        #df = (df * 1e8).apply(np.log)
        df = df/df.sum()
        
        if len(ret.columns) > len(df):
            ret = ret[df.index.tolist()]
        elif len(ret.columns) < len(df):
            df = df.loc[ret.columns.tolist()]
        else:
            pass
        
        final = pd.DataFrame(np.dot(ret, df), columns = ['final'])
        X[period[i + 1]] = final['final']
        
    X.dropna(how = 'any', inplace = True)
    
    return X

#市值调整换手
def adjTurnover(stocks, end_date):
    VOL20 = get_factor_values(stocks, ['VOL20'], end_date = end_date, count = 1)['VOL20'].T
    VOL20.replace(0, np.nan, inplace = True)
    VOL20 = VOL20.apply(np.log)
    VOL20.columns = ['VOL20']
    q = query(valuation.code, valuation.circulating_market_cap).filter(valuation.code.in_(stocks))
    df = get_fundamentals(q, end_date)
    df.index = df['code']
    del df['code']
    VOL20['circulating_market_cap'] = (df['circulating_market_cap'] * 1e8).apply(np.log)
    VOL20.dropna(how = 'any', inplace = True)
    

    X = VOL20['circulating_market_cap']
    Y = VOL20['VOL20']
    l = linreg(X,Y)

    adjTurnover = pd.DataFrame(l, index = VOL20.index, columns = ['adjTurnover'])
    
    return adjTurnover

#因子值数据处理，最后一个参数决定是否做市值行业中性化，默认做
def data_preprocessing(factor_data, stockList, industry_code, date, ind_neutral = True):
    #去极值，参数来自光大研报
    factor_data = winsorize_med(factor_data, scale = 3, inf2nan = False, axis = 0)
    #缺失值处理
    nan_ratio = 1 - factor_data.count() / len(factor_data)
    if nan_ratio[0] > 0.2:
        print(str(date) + '数据缺失率为：' + str(nan_ratio))
    factor_data = replace_nan_indu(factor_data, stockList, industry_code, date)
    #标准化处理
    factor_data = standardlize(factor_data, axis = 0)
    #中性化处理
    if ind_neutral == True:
        factor_data = neutralize(factor_data, how = ['sw_l1', 'market_cap'], date = date, axis = 0)
    
    return factor_data

#缺失值处理
def replace_nan_indu(factor_data, stockList, industry_code, date):
    #把nan用行业中位数代替，依然会有nan，此时用所有股票中位数代替
    i_Constituent_Stocks = {}
    data_temp = pd.DataFrame(index = industry_code, columns = factor_data.columns)
    for i in industry_code:
        temp = get_industry_stocks(i, date)
        i_Constituent_Stocks[i] = list(set(temp).intersection(set(stockList)))
        data_temp.loc[i] = nanmedian(array(factor_data.loc[i_Constituent_Stocks[i], :]))
    for factor in data_temp.columns:
        #行业缺失值用所有行业中位数代替
        null_industry = list(data_temp.loc[pd.isnull(data_temp[factor]), factor].keys())
        for i in null_industry:
            data_temp.loc[i, factor] = nanmedian(array(data_temp[factor]))
        #查询空值所在位置并填充
        null_stock = list(factor_data.loc[pd.isnull(factor_data[factor]), factor].keys())
        for i in null_stock:
            industry = get_industry_name(i_Constituent_Stocks, i)
            if industry:
                factor_data.loc[i, factor] = data_temp.loc[industry[0], factor] 
            else:
                factor_data.loc[i, factor] = nanmedian(array(factor_data[factor]))
    
    return factor_data

#取股票对应行业
def get_industry_name(i_Constituent_Stocks, value):
    return [k for k, v in i_Constituent_Stocks.items() if value in v]

#获取所需数据并存储
def get_df(period):
    #申万更新以前
    industry_old_code=['801010','801020','801030','801040','801050','801080','801110','801120','801130','801140','801150',\
                    '801160','801170','801180','801200','801210','801230']
    #申万更新以后
    industry_new_code = ['801010','801020','801030','801040','801050','801080','801110','801120','801130','801140','801150',\
                    '801160','801170','801180','801200','801210','801230','801710','801720','801730','801740','801750',\
                   '801760','801770','801780','801790','801880','801890']
    
    #时段内全部因子值及当期收益率
    df = pd.DataFrame(index = get_stock(universe, period[-1]))

    for i in range(1, len(period) - 1):
        if period[i] < datetime.datetime.date(datetime.datetime.strptime('2014-02-21', '%Y-%m-%d')):
            industry_code = industry_old_code
        else:
            industry_code = industry_new_code
        all_stock = get_stock(universe, period[i])
        #获取数据
        data = get_factor_data(all_stock, period[i - 1], period[i])

        #处理数据
        p_data = data_preprocessing(data, all_stock, industry_code, period[i], ind_neutral = False)
        p_data.columns = [str(period[i]) + factor]
        df = pd.concat([df, p_data], axis = 1)
        price = get_price(p_data.index.tolist(), start_date = period[i], end_date = period[i + 1], fields = ['close'])['close']
        
        #无法相对于中证全指的超额收益，因为2005年还没有
        ret = pd.DataFrame((price.iloc[-1, :] / price.iloc[0, :]) - 1, columns = [str(period[i]) + '收益率'])
        ret.fillna(nanmedian(ret), inplace = True)
        df = pd.concat([df, ret], axis = 1)

    df.dropna(how = 'all', inplace = True)
    
    
    return df

#计算IC
def get_IC(df):
    
    #IC值序列
    IC = []
    S = []

    for i in range(1, len(period) - 1):
        raw = pd.DataFrame(index = df.index)
        raw['0'] = df[str(period[i]) + factor]
        raw['1'] = df[str(period[i]) + '收益率']
        raw.dropna(inplace = True)
        ic, p = stats.spearmanr(raw, axis = 0, nan_policy = 'omit')
        IC.append(ic)
        #显著性检验
        if p < 0.05:
            if ic > 0:
                S.append('pos')
            elif ic < 0:
                S.append('neg')
            else:
                S.append('non')
        else:
            S.append('non')
            
        
    return IC, S

#汇总结果
def draw_conclusion(period):    
    df = get_df(period)
    #f, t_f = get_f_t(df)
    IC, S = get_IC(df)
    conclusion = pd.DataFrame(index = [factor])
    conclusion['IC均值'] = nanmean(IC)
    conclusion['IC正显著比例'] = S.count('pos') / len(S)
    conclusion['IC负显著比例'] = S.count('neg') / len(S)
    conclusion['abs(IC)>0.02比例'] = len([i for i in IC if abs(i) > 0.02]) / len(IC)
    conclusion['IR'] = nanmean(IC) / std(IC) 
    print(conclusion.T)
    IC = pd.DataFrame(IC, index = period[1: len(period) - 1], columns = ['IC'])
    IC['index'] = range(len(IC))
    IC['S'] = S
    IC['pos'] = IC.loc[IC['S'] == 'pos', 'IC']
    IC['neg'] = IC.loc[IC['S'] == 'neg', 'IC']
    IC['non'] = IC.loc[IC['S'] == 'non', 'IC']
    fig1 = plt.figure(2, figsize=(30,5))
    plt.scatter(IC['index'], IC['pos'], c = 'r')
    plt.scatter(IC['index'], IC['neg'], c = 'b')
    plt.scatter(IC['index'], IC['non'], c = 'grey')
    plt.grid()
    plt.tick_params(labelsize = 20)
    plt.rcParams['axes.unicode_minus'] = False 
    #画多空组合收益率图
    r = get_Return_per_day(period, df)
    return_line(r, period)
    
    return None

#多空一十组合
def get_Return_per_day(period, df):

    #IC = pd.DataFrame()
    r = []
    for i in range(1, len(period) - 1):
        
        abin_sorted = df[str(period[i]) + factor].dropna().sort_values()
        #分组，取第一组和第十组
        n = int(len(abin_sorted)/10)
        long = abin_sorted.index.tolist()[0:n]
        short = abin_sorted.index.tolist()[-n:]

        #多头
        long_close = df[str(period[i]) + '收益率'].loc[long]
        #空头
        short_close = df[str(period[i]) + '收益率'].loc[short]

        #计算收益率
        r.append(long_close.mean() - short_close.mean())

    return r

#画多空组合收益率图
def return_line(r, period):
    r = np.array(r) + 1
    p = []
    m = 1
    p.append(m)
    for i in range(len(r)):
        m *= r[i]
        p.append(m)
        
    d = period[0: len(p)]
    p = pd.Series(p, index = d)
    fig1 = plt.figure(1, figsize=(30,5))
    plt.plot(p.index, p)
    plt.grid()
    plt.tick_params(labelsize = 20)
    plt.rcParams['axes.unicode_minus'] = False 
    
    return None

#控制获取数据时段（因为数据库只到2005年1月1日，且IC计算要前一个月的数据，因此从1月底开始计算）
start_date = '2005-01-31'
end_date = '2019-02-27'
period = get_tradeday_list(start = start_date, end = end_date, frequency = 'month').date


#所需股票池，可选'HS300'，'ZZ500'，'ZZ800'，'A'
global universe
universe = 'A'

#所需因子IVol
global factor
factor = 'IVol'
draw_conclusion(period)

#所需因子IVR
global factor
factor = 'IVR'
draw_conclusion(period)

#所需因子adjTurnover
global factor
factor = 'adjTurnover'
draw_conclusion(period)

#控制获取数据时段（因为数据库只到2005年1月1日，且IC计算要前一个月的数据，因此从1月底开始计算）
start_date = '2005-04-30'
end_date = '2019-02-27'
period = get_tradeday_list(start = start_date, end = end_date, frequency = 'month').date


#所需股票池，可选'HS300'，'ZZ500'，'ZZ800'，'A'
global universe
universe = 'A'

分组回测用自己的代码，数据处理使回测与研究模块保持一致

#所需因子PriceDelay
global factor
factor = 'PriceDelay'
draw_conclusion(period)

#回测用代码
code = '''
# 导入函数库
from jqdata import *
from jqfactor import *
import datetime as dt
import numpy as np
import pandas as pd
import statsmodels.api as sm
from statsmodels import regression


# 初始化函数，设定基准等等
def initialize(context):
    # 设定中证全指作为基准
    set_benchmark({'000002.XSHG': 0.5, '399107.XSHE': 0.5})
    # 开启动态复权模式(真实价格)
    set_option('use_real_price', True)
    log.set_level('order', 'error')
    
    #第几组
    g.group = 1
    g.method = 'adjTurnover'

    ## 运行函数（reference_security为运行时间的参考标的；传入的标的只做种类区分，因此传入'000300.XSHG'或'510300.XSHG'是一样的）
      # 开盘前运行
    run_monthly(before_market_open, monthday = -1, time='before_open', reference_security = '399107.XSHE')
      # 开盘时运行
    run_monthly(market_open, monthday = -1, time='open', reference_security = '399107.XSHE')


## 开盘前运行函数
def before_market_open(context):
    #设置排序方式
    if g.method == 'BP':
        g.asc = False
    else:
        g.asc = True
    #设置滑点、手续费
    set_slip_fee(context)
    #取全A作为股票池
    all_stocks = list(get_all_securities(['stock'], date = context.current_dt).index)
    feasible_stocks = set_feasible_stocks(context, all_stocks)

    if g.method == 'IVol' or g.method == 'IVR':
        factor = FF3(feasible_stocks, context.current_dt)
    elif g.method == 'PriceDelay':
        factor = PD(feasible_stocks, context.current_dt)
    elif g.method == 'adjTurnover':
        factor = adjTurnover(feasible_stocks, context.current_dt)
          
    
    #排序
    factor = factor.sort(g.method, ascending = g.asc)

    n = int(len(factor)/10)
    #分组取样
    if g.group == 10:
        g.tobuy_list = factor.index[(g.group - 1) * n :]
    else:
        g.tobuy_list = factor.index[(g.group - 1) * n : g.group * n]
    
    
#1
#设置可行股票池，剔除st、停牌股票，输入日期
def set_feasible_stocks(context, stockList):
    #剔除ST股
    st_data = get_extras('is_st', stockList, count = 1, end_date = context.current_dt)
    stockList = [stock for stock in stockList if not st_data[stock][0]]
    #剔除*st股票
    stockList = [stock for stock in stockList if '*' not in get_security_info(stock).display_name]
    #剔除上市不足6月的新股
    stockList = delete_new(stockList, context.current_dt, n = 183)
    #剔除停牌
    suspended_info_df = get_price(stockList, end_date = context.current_dt, count = 1, frequency = 'daily', fields = 'paused')['paused']
    stockList = [stock for stock in stockList if suspended_info_df[stock][0] == 0]
    
    return stockList   

#剔除新股
def delete_new(stocks, beginDate, n = 365):
    stockList = []
    for stock in stocks:
        start_date = get_security_info(stock).start_date
        if start_date < dt.datetime.date(beginDate - dt.timedelta(days = n)):
            stockList.append(stock)
    return stockList
    

# 根据不同的时间段设置滑点与手续费
def set_slip_fee(context):
    # 将滑点设置为0
    set_slippage(FixedSlippage(0)) 
    # 根据不同的时间段设置手续费
    dt=context.current_dt
    
    if dt>datetime.datetime(2013,1, 1):
        set_commission(PerTrade(buy_cost=0.0003, 
                                sell_cost=0.0013, 
                                min_cost=5)) 
        
    elif dt>datetime.datetime(2011,1, 1):
        set_commission(PerTrade(buy_cost=0.001, 
                                sell_cost=0.002, 
                                min_cost=5))
            
    elif dt>datetime.datetime(2009,1, 1):
        set_commission(PerTrade(buy_cost=0.002, 
                                sell_cost=0.003, 
                                min_cost=5))
                
    else:
        set_commission(PerTrade(buy_cost=0.003, 
                                sell_cost=0.004, 
                                min_cost=5))


## 开盘时运行函数
def market_open(context):
    #调仓，先卖出股票
    for stock in context.portfolio.long_positions:
        if stock not in g.tobuy_list:
            order_target_value(stock, 0)
    #再买入新股票
    total_value = context.portfolio.total_value # 获取总资产
    for i in range(len(g.tobuy_list)):
        value = total_value / len(g.tobuy_list) # 确定每个标的的权重

        order_target_value(g.tobuy_list[i], value) # 调整标的至目标权重
    
    #查看本期持仓股数
    print(len(context.portfolio.long_positions))
    

#求Fama-French三因子模型特质波动率
def FF3(stocks, end_date, rf = 0.04):
    LoS=len(stocks)
    #查询三因子/五因子的语句
    q = query(
        valuation.code,
        valuation.circulating_market_cap,
        (balance.total_owner_equities/valuation.circulating_market_cap/100000000.0).label("BP"),
        #indicator.roe,
        #balance.total_assets.label("Inv")
    ).filter(
        valuation.code.in_(stocks)
    )
    
    start_date = list(get_tradeday_list(start = None, end = end_date, frequency = 'month', count = 24).date)[0]
    df = get_fundamentals(q, start_date)
    df.index = df['code']
    del df['code']
    #中性化
    #df = neutralize(df, how = ['sw_l1', 'market_cap'], date = start_date, axis = 0)

    #选出特征股票组合
    S=df.sort('circulating_market_cap').index.tolist()[:LoS/3]
    B=df.sort('circulating_market_cap').index.tolist()[LoS-LoS/3:]
    L=df.sort('BP').index.tolist()[:LoS/3]
    H=df.sort('BP').index.tolist()[LoS-LoS/3:]
    
    df5 = df['circulating_market_cap']
    
    # 获得样本期间的股票价格并计算日收益率
    df2 = get_price(stocks, start_date = start_date, end_date = end_date, fields=['close'])['close']
    df4 = df2.pct_change()
    df4.dropna(how ='all', inplace = True)
    df4.fillna(0, inplace = True)
    #求因子的值，按流通市值加权
    SMB = list(np.dot(df4[S], df5.loc[S] / df5.loc[S].sum()) - np.dot(df4[B], df5.loc[B] / df5.loc[B].sum()))
    HML = list(np.dot(df4[H], df5.loc[H] / df5.loc[H].sum()) - np.dot(df4[L], df5.loc[L] / df5.loc[L].sum()))
    
    #用股票池，流通市值为权重作为市场基准
    df6 = df5.loc[df4.columns]
    df6.fillna(df5.mean(), inplace = True)
    RM = list(np.dot(df4, df6 / df6.sum()) - rf/252)
    if len(SMB) > len(RM):
        SMB.drop(SMB.index[0], inplace = True)
        HML.drop(HML.index[0], inplace = True)

    #将因子们计算好并且放好
    X=pd.DataFrame({"RM":RM, "SMB":SMB, "HML":HML})
    # 对样本数据进行线性回归并计算ai
    t_scores=[0.0] * LoS
    for i in range(LoS):
        t_stock = stocks[i]
        t_r = linreg(X, df4[t_stock] - rf/252)
        t_scores[i] = t_r
    
    scores = pd.DataFrame({g.method: t_scores}, index = stocks)
    
    return scores


#9
# 辅助线性回归的函数
# 输入:X:回归自变量 Y:回归因变量 完美支持list,array,DataFrame等三种数据类型
# 输出:参数估计结果-list类型
def linreg(X,Y):
    X=sm.add_constant(array(X))
    Y=array(Y)
    results = sm.OLS(Y, X).fit()
    
    if g.method == 'IVol':
        return results.resid.std() * sqrt(252)
    elif g.method == 'IVR':
        return (1 - results.rsquared)
    elif g.method == 'PriceDelay':
        return results.rsquared
    elif g.method == 'adjTurnover':
        return results.resid

    
#计算价格时滞
def PD(stocks, end_date, rf = 0.04):
    
    minus1_date = list(get_tradeday_list(start = None, end = end_date, frequency = 'month', count = 24).date)[0]
    X1 = MKT(stocks, minus1_date, end_date, n = 0)
    X2 = MKT(stocks, minus1_date, end_date, n = 3)
    quote = get_price(stocks, start_date = minus1_date, end_date = end_date, fields=['close'])['close']
    ret = quote.pct_change()
    ret.dropna(how ='all', inplace = True)
    ret.fillna(0, inplace = True)
    ret = ret - rf/252
    #OLS计算hetero
    PriceDelay = pd.DataFrame(index = [g.method])
    for stock in ret.columns:
        Y1 = ret[stock][:len(X1)]
        Y2 = ret[stock][:len(X2)]
        r0 = linreg(X1 - rf/252, Y1)
        r3 = linreg(X2 - rf/252, Y2)
        PriceDelay[stock] = 1 - r0/r3
    
    PriceDelay = PriceDelay.T

    #返回价格时滞
    return PriceDelay

#计算滞后n期的市场因子
def MKT(stocks, minus1_date, end_date, n):
    if n == 0:
        period = [minus1_date, end_date]
    else:
        period = list(get_tradeday_list(start = None, end = minus1_date, frequency = 'month', count = n * 24).date)
        period.append(end_date)
    
    X = pd.DataFrame(columns = period[1:], index = range(24))
    for i in range(len(period) - 1):
        #设置统计范围
        quote = get_price(stocks, start_date = period[i], end_date = period[i + 1], fields=['close'])['close']
        ret = quote.pct_change()
        ret.dropna(how ='all', inplace = True)
        ret.fillna(0, inplace = True)
        #构造市场基准收益：流通市值加权
        q = query(valuation.circulating_market_cap, valuation.code).filter(valuation.code.in_(stocks))
        df = get_fundamentals(q, period[i])
        df.index = df['code']
        del df['code']
        #df = (df * 1e8).apply(np.log)
        df = df/df.sum()
        
        final = pd.DataFrame(np.dot(ret, df), columns = ['final'])
        X[period[i + 1]] = final['final']
        
    X.dropna(how = 'any', inplace = True)
    
    return X
    
def get_tradeday_list(start,end,frequency=None,count=None):
    if count != None:
        df = get_price('000001.XSHG',end_date=end,count=count)
    else:
        df = get_price('000001.XSHG',start_date=start,end_date=end)
    if frequency == None or frequency =='day':
        return df.index
    else:
        df['year-month'] = [str(i)[0:7] for i in df.index]
        if frequency == 'month':
            return df.drop_duplicates('year-month', take_last = True).index
        elif frequency == 'quarter':
            df['month'] = [str(i)[5:7] for i in df.index]
            df = df[(df['month']=='01') | (df['month']=='04') | (df['month']=='07') | (df['month']=='10') ]
            return df.drop_duplicates('year-month').index
        elif frequency =='halfyear':
            df['month'] = [str(i)[5:7] for i in df.index]
            df = df[(df['month']=='01') | (df['month']=='07')]
            return df.drop_duplicates('year-month').index 
            
            
#流通市值调整换手
def adjTurnover(stocks, end_date):
    start_date = list(get_tradeday_list(start = None, end = end_date, frequency = 'month', count = 24).date)[0]
    VOL20 = get_factor_values(stocks, ['VOL20'], end_date = end_date, count = 1)['VOL20'].T
    VOL20.replace(0, np.nan, inplace = True)
    VOL20 = VOL20.apply(np.log)
    VOL20.columns = ['VOL20']
    q = query(valuation.code, valuation.circulating_market_cap).filter(valuation.code.in_(stocks))
    df = get_fundamentals(q, end_date)
    df.index = df['code']
    del df['code']
    VOL20['circulating_market_cap'] = (df['circulating_market_cap'] * 1e8).apply(np.log)
    VOL20.dropna(how = 'any', inplace = True)

    X = VOL20['circulating_market_cap']
    Y = VOL20['VOL20']
    l = linreg(X,Y)

    adjTurnover = pd.DataFrame(l, index = VOL20.index, columns = ['adjTurnover'])
    
    return adjTurnover
    
## 收盘后运行函数
def after_market_close(context):
    pass
    
'''

下个模块里method默认为'IVR'，需要其他因子的时候更改这个变量至'IVol', 'PriceDelay', 'adjTurnover'即可。按顺序一次一个，重复运行下面4个模块

#研究调用回测
created_bt_ids = []
method = 'IVR'
#取全部组别进行回测
for i in range(1, 11):
    algorithm_id = "e1f0bf5d8c9d75c38497c9b00a01eb9d" #用自己的策略ID
    extra_vars = {'group': i, 'method': method}

    params = {
                "algorithm_id": algorithm_id,
                "start_date": "2005-05-31",
                "end_date": "2019-02-27",
                "frequency": "day",
                "initial_cash": "30000000",
                "initial_positions": None,
                "extras": extra_vars, 
                "name" : method + ' group:' + str(i) 
                }
    created_bt_ids.append(create_backtest(code = code, **params))

#等上个模块的回测全部运行结束再运行这个模块

#先获取基准收益和交易日信息
gt = get_backtest(backtest_id = created_bt_ids[0])
res = gt.get_results()
b_return = []
t = []
for r in res:
    b_return.append(r['benchmark_returns'])
    t.append(r['time'])

#建立df存储数据   
data = pd.DataFrame(index = t)
data['b_return'] = b_return

#填入不同参数下的收益数据
for i in range(len(created_bt_ids)):
    gt = get_backtest(backtest_id = created_bt_ids[i])
    res = gt.get_results()
    name = gt.get_params()['name'] 
    s_return = []
    for r in res:
        s_return.append(r['returns'])
    
    data[name] = s_return

#年化超额收益图
dat = (data.iloc[-1, :] + 1)
((dat / dat[0]) ** (1/14) - 1).drop('b_return').plot.bar(figsize = (7.5, 5))

#夏普比率图
sharpe = []
max_drawdown = []
information_ratio = []
name = range(1, 11)
for i in range(len(created_bt_ids)):
    gt = get_backtest(backtest_id = created_bt_ids[i])
    sharpe.append(gt.get_risk()['sharpe'])
    max_drawdown.append(gt.get_risk()['max_drawdown']) 
    information_ratio.append(gt.get_risk()['information'])

sharpe = pd.Series(sharpe, index = name)
max_drawdown = pd.Series(max_drawdown, index = name)
information_ratio = pd.Series(information_ratio, index = name)
sharpe.plot.bar(figsize = (7.5, 5))

因子收益率回归解释

#获取全部期因子收益率
def get_RegExp_df(period):
    
    IVol = []
    IVR= [] 
    PriceDelay = []
    adjT = [] 
    MKT = [] 
    SMB = [] 
    HML = [] 
    MOM = []
    for i in range(1, len(period) - 1):
        stocks = get_stock(universe, period[i - 1])
        LoS = len(stocks)
        #查询因子的语句
        q = query(
            valuation.code,
            valuation.circulating_market_cap,
            (balance.total_owner_equities/valuation.circulating_market_cap/100000000.0).label("BP"),
        ).filter(
            valuation.code.in_(stocks)
        )

        df = get_fundamentals(q, period[i - 1])
        df.index = df['code']
        del df['code']
        #中性化
        #df = neutralize(df, how = ['sw_l1', 'market_cap'], date = end, axis = 0)
        n = int(LoS/3)

        #选出特征股票组合
        S=df.sort_values('circulating_market_cap').index.tolist()[:n]
        B=df.sort_values('circulating_market_cap').index.tolist()[LoS - n:]
        L=df.sort_values('BP').index.tolist()[:n]
        H=df.sort_values('BP').index.tolist()[LoS - n:]

        #df5 = (df['circulating_market_cap'] * 1e8).apply(np.log)
        df5 = df['circulating_market_cap']
        # 获得样本期间的股票价格并计算月收益率
        df2 = get_price(stocks, start_date = period[i - 1], end_date = period[i], fields=['close'])['close']
        df4 = df2.iloc[-1, :] / df2.iloc[0, :] - 1
        df4.fillna(0, inplace = True)

        #动量（反转）因子
        prior_date = list(get_tradeday_list(start = None, end = period[i - 1], frequency = 'month', count = 24).date)[0]
        df22 = get_price(stocks, start_date = prior_date, end_date = period[i - 1], fields=['close'])['close']
        df42 = pd.DataFrame(df22.iloc[-1, :] / df22.iloc[0, :] - 1, columns = ['ret'])
        df42.fillna(0, inplace = True)
        LO = df42.sort_values('ret').index.tolist()[: n]
        W = df42.sort_values('ret').index.tolist()[LoS - n:]

        #求因子的值，按流通市值加权
        SMB.append(np.dot(df4[S], df5.loc[S] / df5.loc[S].sum()) - np.dot(df4[B], df5.loc[B] / df5.loc[B].sum()))
        HML.append(np.dot(df4[H], df5.loc[H] / df5.loc[H].sum()) - np.dot(df4[L], df5.loc[L] / df5.loc[L].sum()))

        #价格数据股票比财务数据多
        df6 = df5.loc[df4.index]
        df6.fillna(df5.mean(), inplace = True)
        MOM.append(np.dot(df4[LO], df6.loc[LO] / df6.loc[LO].sum()) - np.dot(df4[W], df6.loc[W] / df6.loc[W].sum()))
        #用股票池，流通市值为权重作为市场基准
        MKT.append(np.dot(df4, df6 / df6.sum()))
        
        global factor
        factor = 'IVol'
        factor_data = FF3(stocks, period[i - 1], period[i])
        factor_data.columns = [factor]
        first = factor_data.sort_values(factor).index.tolist()[:n]
        last = factor_data.sort_values(factor).index.tolist()[LoS - n:]
        IVol.append(np.dot(df4[first], df6.loc[first] / df6.loc[first].sum()) - np.dot(df4[last], df6.loc[last] / df6.loc[last].sum()))
        factor = 'IVR'
        factor_data = FF3(stocks, period[i - 1], period[i])
        factor_data.columns = [factor]
        first = factor_data.sort_values(factor).index.tolist()[:n]
        last = factor_data.sort_values(factor).index.tolist()[LoS - n:]
        IVR.append(np.dot(df4[first], df6.loc[first] / df6.loc[first].sum()) - np.dot(df4[last], df6.loc[last] / df6.loc[last].sum()))
        factor = 'PriceDelay'
        factor_data = PD(stocks, period[i - 1], period[i])
        factor_data.columns = [factor]
        first = factor_data.sort_values(factor).index.tolist()[:n]
        last = factor_data.sort_values(factor).index.tolist()[LoS - n:]
        PriceDelay.append(np.dot(df4[first], df6.loc[first] / df6.loc[first].sum()) - np.dot(df4[last], df6.loc[last] / df6.loc[last].sum()))
        factor = 'adjTurnover'
        factor_data = adjTurnover(stocks, period[i])
        factor_data.columns = [factor]
        first = factor_data.sort_values(factor).index.tolist()[:n]
        last = factor_data.sort_values(factor).index.tolist()[LoS - n:]
        adjT.append(np.dot(df4[first], df6.loc[first] / df6.loc[first].sum()) - np.dot(df4[last], df6.loc[last] / df6.loc[last].sum()))
    
    
    #将因子们计算好并且放好
    f_data = pd.DataFrame({"MKT": MKT, "SMB": SMB, "HML": HML, "MOM": MOM,
                                'IVol': IVol, 'IVR': IVR, 'PriceDelay': PriceDelay, 'adjTurnover': adjT})
    f_data.dropna(how = 'any', inplace = True)
    
    return f_data

#控制获取数据时段（因为数据库只到2005年1月1日，且IC计算要前一个月的数据，因此从1月底开始计算）
start_date = '2005-04-30'
end_date = '2019-02-27'
period = get_tradeday_list(start = start_date, end = end_date, frequency = 'month').date

RegExp_df = get_RegExp_df(period)

#线性回归解释，Yf是被解释变量（只能有一个），Xf是用来解释的变量列表（一个或多个，不能包含Yf）
#可选变量列表['IVol', 'IVR', 'PriceDelay', 'adjTurnover', 'MKT', 'SMB', 'HML', 'MOM']
def RegExp(df, Yf, Xf):
    
    X = sm.add_constant(array(df[Xf], dtype=float))
    Y = array(df[Yf])
    results = sm.OLS(Y, X).fit()
    print(results.summary())
    
    return None

RegExp(RegExp_df, Yf = 'IVol', Xf = ['IVR', 'adjTurnover'])

RegExp(RegExp_df, Yf = 'IVR', Xf = ['IVol', 'PriceDelay', 'adjTurnover'])

RegExp(RegExp_df, Yf = 'IVR', Xf = ['MKT', 'SMB', 'HML', 'MOM', 'IVol', 'PriceDelay', 'adjTurnover'])

RegExp(RegExp_df, Yf = 'PriceDelay', Xf = ['IVR'])

RegExp(RegExp_df, Yf = 'adjTurnover', Xf = ['IVol', 'IVR', 'PriceDelay'])

RegExp(RegExp_df, Yf = 'adjTurnover', Xf = ['MKT', 'SMB', 'HML', 'MOM', 'IVol', 'IVR', 'PriceDelay'])

量化交易吧 / 数理科学 帖子：3364762 新帖：0

复现东方证券研报--投机、交易行为与股票收益

专门套利发表于：5 月 10 日 03：02回复(1)

结论概述

被投机个股的交易行为特征

交易行为类指标

1、特质波动率

2、特异度

3、价格时滞

4、流通市值调整换手率

5、小结

因子收益率回归检查替代关系

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