2019/03/17: 观察了两周,没发现改数据 . 哪位大神会设计股指期货回测?
__biz=MzU2NDQ3NTI0OA==&mid=2247484082&idx=1&sn=c6dc788316ebc3ad7394bdc9415f8a47&chksm=f*b26adcb3cafbbf5*82bd341af8f9523f34b37caa88b1d8bce3c0232ca77d4700328a6610&token=1279847976?=zh_CN#rd
2019/02/28:
最近在读“行为金融学”方面的书， 对这方面比较感兴趣，也经常在网上和微信上查资料。 发现“行为金融学”方面的做法和量化界不同， 他们好像是通过互联网的问卷调查预测行情。 拿到问卷调查后怎么研究得出预测的就不太清楚了。就公布的预测结果来看，似乎挺有效。 在这篇文章里我把公布的预测结果拿到平台上来跑跑回测，分析一把：
1.预测结果获取
几个问卷调查预测网站里，找了下面这个预测中证500指数的。把网页下载下来存盘，上传聚宽的研究空间。
__biz=MzU2NDQ3NTI0OA==&mid=2247484048&idx=1&sn=d9cce02378d2fffbfa9069dd4b1fbb54&chksm=f*b268fcb3caf997d154171c06af4b7a822e45f5974421de036117a1916daa03da76e4aef3d&mpshare=1&scene=1&srcid=0228RGlUtu20VHHaBu2Ju9Mk&pass_ticket=GPnK4NUJ2KY/evQtBkBl9WzAjcv/XVNE0EcGOlagl2OgBVNmmWuLJT9keb5ktgja#rd
1.1写几行Python把HTML 文件内的Table读进来转成 dataframe
1.2还不知道怎么在回测空间内读文件。简单点，把dataframe 先转成JSON ，然后手工copy到回测代码里，如下：
2.回测
以中证500指数000905.XSHG 为基准，按预测值每天开盘买卖000905.XSHG。 回测结果:
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'op']=-1df=df[['op']]s=df.to_json()print(s){"op":{"2016-11-01":0,"2016-11-02":0,"2016-11-03":0,"2016-11-04":1,"2016-11-07":-1,"2016-11-08":0,"2016-11-09":0,"2016-11-10":0,"2016-11-11":1,"2016-11-14":1,"2016-11-15":0,"2016-11-16":0,"2016-11-17":-1,"2016-11-18":0,"2016-11-21":0,"2016-11-22":0,"2016-11-23":0,"2016-11-24":0,"2016-11-25":0,"2016-11-28":1,"2016-11-29":-1,"2016-11-30":0,"2016-12-01":0,"2016-12-02":0,"2016-12-05":0,"2016-12-06":0,"2016-12-07":-1,"2016-12-08":0,"2016-12-09":-1,"2016-12-12":0,"2016-12-13":0,"2016-12-14":0,"2016-12-15":0,"2016-12-16":0,"2016-12-19":0,"2016-12-20":0,"2016-12-21":0,"2016-12-22":0,"2016-12-23":-1,"2016-12-26":-1,"2016-12-27":1,"2016-12-28":-1,"2016-12-29":0,"2016-12-30":1,"2017-01-03":1,"2017-01-04":1,"2017-01-05":0,"2017-01-06":-1,"2017-01-09":0,"2017-01-10":-1,"2017-01-11":-1,"2017-01-12":0,"2017-01-13":-1,"2017-01-16":-1,"2017-01-17":0,"2017-01-18":0,"2017-01-19":0,"2017-01-20":0,"2017-01-23":1,"2017-01-24":0,"2017-01-25":-1,"2017-01-26":0,"2017-02-03":-1,"2017-02-06":-1,"2017-02-07":0,"2017-02-08":-1,"2017-02-09":0,"2017-02-10":1,"2017-02-13":1,"2017-02-14":0,"2017-02-15":-1,"2017-02-16":1,"2017-02-17":0,"2017-02-20":1,"2017-02-21":1,"2017-02-22":0,"2017-02-23":0,"2017-02-24":0,"2017-02-27":-1,"2017-02-28":1,"2017-03-01":0,"2017-03-02":-1,"2017-03-03":0,"2017-03-06":0,"2017-03-07":0,"2017-03-08":0,"2017-03-09":0,"2017-03-10":0,"2017-03-13":-1,"2017-03-14":0,"2017-03-15":-1,"2017-03-16":-1,"2017-03-17":0,"2017-03-20":1,"2017-03-21":1,"2017-03-22":0,"2017-03-23":0,"2017-03-24":0,"2017-03-27":0,"2017-03-28":0,"2017-03-29":0,"2017-03-30":-1,"2017-03-31":0,"2017-04-05":1,"2017-04-06":0,"2017-04-07":0,"2017-04-10":-1,"2017-04-11":0,"2017-04-12":1,"2017-04-13":0,"2017-04-14":0,"2017-04-17":0,"2017-04-18":0,"2017-04-19":-1,"2017-04-20":0,"2017-04-21":0,"2017-04-24":-1,"2017-04-25":-1,"2017-04-26":1,"2017-04-27":-1,"2017-04-28":-1,"2017-05-02":-1,"2017-05-03":-1,"2017-05-04":-1,"2017-05-05":-1,"2017-05-08":-1,"2017-05-09":0,"2017-05-10":1,"2017-05-11":0,"2017-05-12":1,"2017-05-15":0,"2017-05-16":0,"2017-05-17":0,"2017-05-18":-1,"2017-05-19":-1,"2017-05-22":-1,"2017-05-23":-1,"2017-05-24":0,"2017-05-25":1,"2017-05-26":1,"2017-05-31":-1,"2017-06-01":-1,"2017-06-02":0,"2017-06-05":0,"2017-06-06":0,"2017-06-07":1,"2017-06-08":1,"2017-06-09":0,"2017-06-12":0,"2017-06-13":1,"2017-06-14":0,"2017-06-15":0,"2017-06-16":1,"2017-06-19":-1,"2017-06-20":0,"2017-06-21":0,"2017-06-22":0,"2017-06-23":1,"2017-06-26":1,"2017-06-27":1,"2017-06-28":-1,"2017-06-29":0,"2017-06-30":-1,"2017-07-03":-1,"2017-07-04":-1,"2017-07-05":-1,"2017-07-06":1,"2017-07-07":-1,"2017-07-10":0,"2017-07-11":0,"2017-07-12":0,"2017-07-13":-1,"2017-07-14":-1,"2017-07-17":-1,"2017-07-18":0,"2017-07-19":1,"2017-07-20":0,"2017-07-21":-1,"2017-07-24":-1,"2017-07-25":-1,"2017-07-26":0,"2017-07-27":-1,"2017-07-28":0,"2017-07-31":-1,"2017-08-01":0,"2017-08-02":0,"2017-08-03":1,"2017-08-04":0,"2017-08-07":0,"2017-08-08":0,"2017-08-09":-1,"2017-08-10":-1,"2017-08-11":0,"2017-08-14":0,"2017-08-15":1,"2017-08-16":0,"2017-08-17":0,"2017-08-18":0,"2017-08-21":-1,"2017-08-22":-1,"2017-08-23":-1,"2017-08-24":-1,"2017-08-25":-1,"2017-08-28":0,"2017-08-29":0,"2017-08-30":-1,"2017-08-31":-1,"2017-09-01":-1,"2017-09-04":-1,"2017-09-05":-1,"2017-09-06":-1,"2017-09-07":-1,"2017-09-08":1,"2017-09-11":0,"2017-09-12":0,"2017-09-13":0,"2017-09-14":0,"2017-09-15":0,"2017-09-18":0,"2017-09-19":0,"2017-09-20":0,"2017-09-21":0,"2017-09-22":0,"2017-09-25":0,"2017-09-26":0,"2017-09-27":0,"2017-09-28":0,"2017-09-29":0,"2017-10-09":1,"2017-10-10":1,"2017-10-11":1,"2017-10-12":0,"2017-10-13":0,"2017-10-16":-1,"2017-10-17":0,"2017-10-18":1,"2017-10-19":-1,"2017-10-20":-1,"2017-10-23":0,"2017-10-24":0,"2017-10-25":1,"2017-10-26":0,"2017-10-27":0,"2017-10-30":-1,"2017-10-31":0,"2017-11-01":0,"2017-11-02":-1,"2017-11-03":-1,"2017-11-06":-1,"2017-11-07":1,"2017-11-08":1,"2017-11-09":0,"2017-11-10":0,"2017-11-13":0,"2017-11-14":0,"2017-11-15":1,"2017-11-16":0,"2017-11-17":0,"2017-11-20":-1,"2017-11-21":1,"2017-11-22":0,"2017-11-23":0,"2017-11-24":0,"2017-11-27":0,"2017-11-28":-1,"2017-11-29":1,"2017-11-30":-1,"2017-12-01":-1,"2017-12-04":0,"2017-12-05":-1,"2017-12-06":0,"2017-12-07":0,"2017-12-08":-1,"2017-12-11":0,"2017-12-12":0,"2017-12-13":-1,"2017-12-14":0,"2017-12-15":-1,"2017-12-18":-1,"2017-12-19":0,"2017-12-20":1,"2017-12-21":-1,"2017-12-22":1,"2017-12-25":-1,"2017-12-26":-1,"2017-12-27":1,"2017-12-28":-1,"2017-12-29":1,"2018-01-02":0,"2018-01-03":1,"2018-01-04":1,"2018-01-05":0,"2018-01-08":0,"2018-01-09":-1,"2018-01-10":-1,"2018-01-11":0,"2018-01-12":0,"2018-01-15":-1,"2018-01-16":1,"2018-01-17":1,"2018-01-18":-1,"2018-01-19":0,"2018-01-22":-1,"2018-01-23":0,"2018-01-24":0,"2018-01-25":0,"2018-01-26":0,"2018-01-29":-1,"2018-01-30":0,"2018-01-31":0,"2018-02-01":-1,"2018-02-02":-1,"2018-02-05":-1,"2018-02-06":-1,"2018-02-07":0,"2018-02-08":0,"2018-02-09":-1,"2018-02-12":0,"2018-02-13":0,"2018-02-14":-1,"2018-02-22":0,"2018-02-23":-1,"2018-02-26":-1,"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op
2016-11-01 0
2016-11-02 0
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2016-11-04 1
2016-11-07 -1
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2016-11-29 -1
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2016-12-02 0
2016-12-05 0
2016-12-06 0
2016-12-07 -1
2016-12-08 0
2016-12-09 -1
2016-12-12 0
... ..
2019-01-11 0
2019-01-14 -1
2019-01-15 1
2019-01-16 1
2019-01-17 0
2019-01-18 1
2019-01-21 1
2019-01-22 1
2019-01-23 1
2019-01-24 0
2019-01-25 0
2019-01-28 0
2019-01-29 0
2019-01-30 1
2019-01-31 0
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2019-02-11 1
2019-02-12 1
2019-02-13 1
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2019-02-19 1
2019-02-20 0
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2019-02-25 1
2019-02-26 1
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2019-02-28 1
[568 rows x 1 columns]df.index
DatetimeIndex(['2016-11-01', '2016-11-02', '2016-11-03', '2016-11-04', '2016-11-07', '2016-11-08', '2016-11-09', '2016-11-10', '2016-11-11', '2016-11-14', ... '2019-02-15', '2019-02-18', '2019-02-19', '2019-02-20', '2019-02-21', '2019-02-22', '2019-02-25', '2019-02-26', '2019-02-27', '2019-02-28'], dtype='datetime64[ns]', length=568, freq=None)
with open("../duyi.htm", "r") as f:s = f.read()df=pd.read_html(s)[0]df
.dataframe tbody tr th:only-of-type { vertical-align: middle; } .dataframe tbody tr th { vertical-align: top; } .dataframe thead th { text-align: right; }
| Unnamed: 0 | 收盘价 | 价格变化 | 基准 | 净值 | 操作 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2019-02-28 | 5025.29 | 0.15% | 0.772 | 3.295 | 做多 |
| 1 | 2019-02-27 | 5017.88 | -0.41% | 0.771 | 3.291 | 做多 |
| 2 | 2019-02-26 | 5038.54 | -0.12% | 0.774 | 3.304 | 做多 |
| 3 | 2019-02-25 | 5044.35 | 5.59% | 0.775 | 3.308 | 做多 |
| 4 | 2019-02-22 | 4777.30 | 2.54% | 0.734 | 3.133 | 做多 |
| 5 | 2019-02-21 | 4659.14 | -0.18% | 0.716 | 3.055 | 平仓 |
| 6 | 2019-02-20 | 4667.62 | 0.01% | 0.717 | 3.055 | 平仓 |
| 7 | 2019-02-19 | 4667.28 | 0.13% | 0.717 | 3.055 | 做多 |
| 8 | 2019-02-18 | 4661.00 | 3.51% | 0.716 | 3.051 | 做多 |
| 9 | 2019-02-15 | 4502.73 | -0.65% | 0.692 | 2.948 | 平仓 |
| 10 | 2019-02-14 | 4532.17 | 0.44% | 0.696 | 2.948 | 做多 |
| 11 | 2019-02-13 | 4512.41 | 1.64% | 0.693 | 2.935 | 做多 |
| 12 | 2019-02-12 | 4439.48 | 0.83% | 0.682 | 2.887 | 做多 |
| 13 | 2019-02-11 | 4402.87 | 2.53% | 0.677 | 2.863 | 做多 |
| 14 | 2019-02-01 | 4294.27 | 2.82% | 0.660 | 2.793 | 平仓 |
| 15 | 2019-01-31 | 4176.47 | -0.83% | 0.642 | 2.793 | 平仓 |
| 16 | 2019-01-30 | 4211.62 | -1.00% | 0.647 | 2.793 | 做多 |
| 17 | 2019-01-29 | 4254.29 | -1.23% | 0.654 | 2.821 | 平仓 |
| 18 | 2019-01-28 | 4307.22 | -0.26% | 0.662 | 2.821 | 平仓 |
| 19 | 2019-01-25 | 4318.44 | -0.45% | 0.664 | 2.821 | 平仓 |
| 20 | 2019-01-24 | 4338.17 | 0.52% | 0.667 | 2.821 | 平仓 |
| 21 | 2019-01-23 | 4315.68 | 0.17% | 0.663 | 2.821 | 做多 |
| 22 | 2019-01-22 | 4308.25 | -1.49% | 0.662 | 2.816 | 做多 |
| 23 | 2019-01-21 | 4373.63 | 0.59% | 0.672 | 2.859 | 做多 |
| 24 | 2019-01-18 | 4347.81 | 1.02% | 0.668 | 2.842 | 做多 |
| 25 | 2019-01-17 | 4303.73 | -0.76% | 0.661 | 2.813 | 平仓 |
| 26 | 2019-01-16 | 4336.88 | -0.24% | 0.666 | 2.813 | 做多 |
| 27 | 2019-01-15 | 4347.36 | 1.42% | 0.668 | 2.820 | 做多 |
| 28 | 2019-01-14 | 4286.55 | -0.66% | 0.659 | 2.781 | 做空 |
| 29 | 2019-01-11 | 4314.88 | 0.77% | 0.663 | 2.763 | 平仓 |
| ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... |
| 538 | 2016-12-12 | 6249.08 | -4.07% | 0.960 | 1.011 | 平仓 |
| 539 | 2016-12-09 | 6513.92 | -0.21% | 1.001 | 1.011 | 做空 |
| 540 | 2016-12-08 | 6527.43 | -0.47% | 1.003 | 1.009 | 平仓 |
| 541 | 2016-12-07 | 6558.02 | 1.03% | 1.008 | 1.009 | 做空 |
| 542 | 2016-12-06 | 6490.89 | 0.08% | 0.997 | 1.019 | 平仓 |
| 543 | 2016-12-05 | 6486.02 | -0.54% | 0.997 | 1.019 | 平仓 |
| 544 | 2016-12-02 | 6520.97 | -1.56% | 1.002 | 1.019 | 平仓 |
| 545 | 2016-12-01 | 6624.47 | 0.59% | 1.018 | 1.019 | 平仓 |
| 546 | 2016-11-30 | 6585.58 | -0.53% | 1.012 | 1.019 | 平仓 |
| 547 | 2016-11-29 | 6620.79 | -0.75% | 1.017 | 1.019 | 做空 |
| 548 | 2016-11-28 | 6670.80 | 0.27% | 1.025 | 1.012 | 做多 |
| 549 | 2016-11-25 | 6652.82 | 0.45% | 1.022 | 1.009 | 平仓 |
| 550 | 2016-11-24 | 6623.05 | -0.12% | 1.018 | 1.009 | 平仓 |
| 551 | 2016-11-23 | 6631.17 | -0.45% | 1.019 | 1.009 | 平仓 |
| 552 | 2016-11-22 | 6661.25 | 0.75% | 1.024 | 1.009 | 平仓 |
| 553 | 2016-11-21 | 6611.54 | 0.14% | 1.016 | 1.009 | 平仓 |
| 554 | 2016-11-18 | 6602.33 | -0.51% | 1.015 | 1.009 | 平仓 |
| 555 | 2016-11-17 | 6636.47 | -0.12% | 1.020 | 1.009 | 做空 |
| 556 | 2016-11-16 | 6644.19 | 0.06% | 1.021 | 1.008 | 平仓 |
| 557 | 2016-11-15 | 6640.46 | 0.38% | 1.020 | 1.008 | 平仓 |
| 558 | 2016-11-14 | 6615.01 | 0.47% | 1.016 | 1.008 | 做多 |
| 559 | 2016-11-11 | 6583.89 | 0.72% | 1.012 | 1.003 | 做多 |
| 560 | 2016-11-10 | 6536.97 | 1.29% | 1.004 | 0.996 | 平仓 |
| 561 | 2016-11-09 | 6453.57 | -0.76% | 0.992 | 0.996 | 平仓 |
| 562 | 2016-11-08 | 6503.18 | 0.53% | 0.999 | 0.996 | 平仓 |
| 563 | 2016-11-07 | 6468.82 | 0.10% | 0.994 | 0.996 | 做空 |
| 564 | 2016-11-04 | 6462.59 | -0.33% | 0.993 | 0.997 | 做多 |
| 565 | 2016-11-03 | 6483.73 | 0.44% | 0.996 | 1.000 | 平仓 |
| 566 | 2016-11-02 | 6455.13 | -0.81% | 0.992 | 1.000 | 平仓 |
| 567 | 2016-11-01 | 6507.95 | 0.00% | 1.000 | 1.000 | 平仓 |
568 rows × 6 columns
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